Bilateral Investment Treaty Framework

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Bilateral Investment Treaty Framework

Inspired by a conversation on:

Top Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

IL16: False Narratives - A Path to a World of Conflict ft. Stephen Roach

Host: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Timestamp: 00:56:47 - 00:57:57

Listen to Episode • View Podcast • All Ideas from Top Traders Unplugged

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Direct Quote

"A bilateral investment treaty is a treaty that lowers investment barriers for multinationals who want to invest in both countries."

Market Gap

Deteriorating US-China relationship hinders economic growth.

The ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and China create significant barriers to trade and investment, leading to economic inefficiencies that affect businesses on both sides. As companies face rising tariffs and restrictions, their ability to operate seamlessly across borders diminishes, resulting in lost opportunities for economic growth and collaboration. A lack of formalized agreements leads to uncertainty in investment, and businesses are unable to navigate the complexities of cross-border operations effectively. This problem is compounded by public sentiment and political rhetoric, which often exacerbate tensions rather than promote understanding and cooperation.

Summary

The proposed business idea is to create a framework for a Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) between the US and China. This treaty would serve to lower investment barriers for multinational corporations wishing to operate in both countries, allowing capital to flow more freely. The BIT could address key structural issues such as forced technology transfers and labor practices while promoting a more collaborative approach to economic relations. This framework would not only support economic growth but also provide a platform for addressing mutual concerns in trade, technology, and investment. The target audience for this business concept includes policymakers, multinational corporations, and trade organizations interested in fostering a stable economic environment.

Categorization

Business Model
Other
Target Founder
Subject Matter Expert
Difficulty
High
Time to Revenue
> 1 year
Initial Investment
> $10,000

Potential MRR (18-24 months)

Conservative
$5,000 - $10,000 MRR
Moderate (Most Likely)
$15,000 - $30,000 MRR
Optimistic
$50,000 - $100,000 MRR

* Estimates assume solo founder/bootstrap scenario with competent execution

Scores

Clarity
8/10
Novelty
6/10
Feasibility
5/10
Market Potential
7/10
Evidence
8/10
Overall
6.8/10
Found on September 17, 2025 • Analyzed on September 17, 2025 7:07 AM

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How should I validate this other idea before building it?

2:34 PM

Great question! For a other idea like this, I'd recommend starting with these validation steps:

  1. Customer interviews: Talk to Subject Matter Expert to understand their pain points
  2. MVP approach: Build a simple landing page to test demand
  3. Competitor analysis: Research existing solutions and identify gaps

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2:35 PM

Yes, and what about the technical implementation? Should I build this myself or hire a team?

2:36 PM

Based on your idea's complexity and > 1 year, here's my recommendation:

Technical Strategy:

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