Quantitative Trend Following Strategy Development

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Quantitative Trend Following Strategy Development

Inspired by a conversation on:

Top Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

TTU143: How to stay Sharpe ft. Guillaume Jamet, Co-CIO at Metori Capital Management

Host: Niels Kastrup-Larsen

Timestamp: 02:17 - 04:12

Listen to Episode • View Podcast • All Ideas from Top Traders Unplugged

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Feather Flow

Direct Quote

"When you come from the world of quantitative finance, interestingly, you're not interested at the expected return. You're interested in understanding how risk change."

Market Gap

Investors struggle to find consistent returns in volatile markets.

Many investors face challenges in achieving consistent returns, especially in volatile market environments. Traditional investment strategies often fail to adapt effectively to changing market conditions, leading to missed opportunities. The need for a more responsive, quantitative approach to trend following becomes evident as market dynamics shift rapidly, making it essential for investors to understand risk and its impact on returns. Current methods often overlook the importance of correlation and dynamic risk assessment, which can lead to suboptimal investment decisions during critical market transitions.

Summary

The idea involves developing a quantitative trend following strategy that adapts to changing market conditions by focusing on risk assessment rather than merely expected returns. This strategy would utilize advanced statistical techniques to filter signals and evaluate correlations, enabling the identification of profitable trends in various asset classes. By leveraging mathematical models, the strategy aims to provide investors with a more robust framework for navigating volatile markets, ensuring they can capitalize on trends while effectively managing risk. Target audiences include institutional investors and hedge funds looking to enhance their investment performance through systematic approaches.

Categorization

Business Model
SaaS
Target Founder
Technical
Difficulty
Medium
Time to Revenue
6-12 months
Initial Investment
$1,000-$10,000

Potential MRR (18-24 months)

Conservative
$5,000 - $10,000 MRR
Moderate (Most Likely)
$15,000 - $30,000 MRR
Optimistic
$40,000 - $70,000 MRR

* Estimates assume solo founder/bootstrap scenario with competent execution

Scores

Clarity
8/10
Novelty
7/10
Feasibility
6/10
Market Potential
8/10
Evidence
7/10
Overall
7/10
Found on September 20, 2025 • Analyzed on September 20, 2025 5:55 AM

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How should I validate this saas idea before building it?

2:34 PM

Great question! For a saas idea like this, I'd recommend starting with these validation steps:

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